Model: the trained classifier's predicted probability the move reverts toward prior close. On a Drop, high % = likely to bounce back up (bullish) — shown green above 60%. On a Gain, the SAME column means likely to fade back down (bearish) — shown red above 60%. Recomputed per-event when its reaction settles, and refreshed for every event at the monthly full retrain.
Recom: BUY (dip) / SELL (take profit) above the 60% threshold, otherwise HOLD / WATCH. Confidence: high / medium / low — based on this ticker's own historical sample size, separate from the Model %.
Colors: green = up/gain, red = down/drop.

Pattern Strength: strong ≥8 own events & ≥85% of followers moved same-direction  ·  moderate ≥5 events & ≥70%  ·  weak below that bar  ·  untested no co-movement stats yet (too few trackable followers or own events)
Colors: green = up/gain, red = down/drop, applied to price change % and effect/forecast columns.

Colors: green = up/gain, red = down/drop. Sensitivity: follower's avg move ÷ Bellwether's avg move — >1x means the follower typically moves MORE than the Bellwether.